Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 9.681922 10.797010 12.020051 13.466474 15.137292 17.014947 19.296260
2025-11-23 7.939167 9.353745 11.017144 13.136096 15.790213 19.040465 23.377648
2025-11-30 7.007498 8.565713 10.486620 13.063408 16.483143 20.943898 27.335697
2025-12-07 6.159096 7.737642 9.753802 12.567322 16.473298 21.830902 29.967371
2025-12-14 5.448413 6.995476 9.028296 11.957538 16.178130 22.216680 31.855952
2025-12-21 4.987780 6.532545 8.615917 11.708845 16.324027 23.199008 34.720013
2025-12-28 5.025052 6.741704 9.131626 12.812777 18.552129 27.553283 43.623831
2026-01-04 4.812012 6.575563 9.091416 13.079177 19.515721 30.036274 49.822505
2026-01-11 4.466045 6.188749 8.692640 12.750302 19.479436 30.844464 53.135229
2026-01-18 4.324482 6.089699 8.711300 13.070811 20.534960 33.644320 60.702529
2026-01-25 4.065650 5.795284 8.406483 12.835500 20.608507 34.686014 64.951452
2026-02-01 3.845359 5.544802 8.150711 12.655371 20.752372 35.863477 69.692707
2026-02-08 3.644488 5.319593 7.931029 12.537751 21.034660 37.420523 75.788842
2026-02-15 3.424147 5.050866 7.623500 12.242886 20.959094 38.266161 80.474331
2026-02-22 3.268406 4.875080 7.454964 12.175875 21.304598 40.017116 87.756376
2026-03-01 3.054441 4.592469 7.089330 11.721411 20.840080 39.976196 90.471567
2026-03-08 2.838897 4.296267 6.683456 11.162220 20.110327 39.259234 91.244890
2026-03-15 2.697202 4.115198 6.464101 10.933988 20.033216 39.998141 96.228934
2026-03-22 2.769653 4.295599 6.881342 11.946332 22.662781 47.436500 122.910742
2026-03-29 2.714263 4.254478 6.903084 12.190342 23.666634 51.145370 139.518987
2026-04-05 2.581707 4.073164 6.661343 11.889092 23.419240 51.647321 145.649301
2026-04-12 2.542489 4.052696 6.711321 12.182680 24.563345 55.983737 166.794302
2026-04-19 2.435758 3.907640 6.522298 11.967150 24.490654 57.018464 176.131300